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Prof K Nageshwar: Economic Survey pegs 11% growth: Is it true? (Video)

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11 , 2.5 || Economic Survey pegs 11% growth: Is it true? ||
The Economic Survey has projected Indias economy to grow 15.4 per cent at current prices in 2021-22, which is likely to be a crucial number for key rates and ratios in the Budget, slated to be presented on Monday.

At constant prices, GDP is estimated to grow at a record high of 11 per cent during the year on the back of normalisation in economic activities with the roll-out of vaccines, coupled with supply-side reforms and a push to infrastructure.

However, it should be noted that growth would be coming on the projected contraction of the economy by 7.7 per cent. This means Indias real GDP will grow 2.4 per cent over the absolute level of 2019-20, implying that the economy would take two years to go past the pre-pandemic level.

 

At 15.4 per cent, GDP will be Rs 224.8 trillion next year. The Budget in all probability would assume this number and calculate figures such as tax collection, the fiscal deficit, and the investment rate as percentage of this figure. Growth will be supported by a supply-side push from reforms and the easing of regulations, infrastructural investment, a boost to manufacturing through the productivity-linked incentive scheme, a recovery of pent-up demand for services, increase in discretionary consumption subsequent to the vaccine roll-out and a pick-up in credit, given adequate liquidity and low interest rates, the Survey said. These projections are in line with the IMFs estimate of real GDP growth of 11.5 per cent in 2021-22.
https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/highest-since-independence-economic-survey-pegs-gdp-growth-at-11-in-fy22-121013000071_1.html#:~:text=%C2%ABBack-,Highest%20since%20independence%3A%20Economic%20Survey%20pegs,growth%20at%2011%25%20in%20FY22&text=At%2015.4%20per%20cent%2C%20GDP,Rs%20224.8%20trillion%20next%20year.

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Prof K Nageshwar:  Economic Survey pegs 11% growth: Is it true? (Video)

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