GHMC : || GHMC Exit Polls: Five Trends Clear ||
Political parties are busy interpreting low voter turnout in terms of possible electoral outcomes. While the TRS circles are reportedly feeling comfort over the low turnout benefitting the ruling party, the opposition BJP is furious. Several theories are floated to link the low voter turnout with that of the electoral outcome.
The popular notion is that voters come out to the polls in greater numbers when motivated to punish the incumbent party. Thus, the low turnout can be interpreted that Hyderabad voters were not keen on punishing the TRS that is ruling both GHMC and the state government. This is precisely why the ruling TRS is hoping for a win, and the opposition BJP seems nervous.
But, the electoral studies do not establish any relationship between voter turnout and possible electoral outcome.
According to a 2018 study by Milan Vaishnav and Jonathan Guy published in the journal, Studies in Indian Politics that looked into data from 18 major Indian state elections between 1980 and 2012, there is no relationship between voter turnout and the electoral outcome in favour of either ruling or opposition party.
However, there is also a theory that low voter turnout benefits cadre-based parties like the BJP. The proponents of this theory refer to the following.
In a new book about Indian elections and polling, NDTVs Prannoy Roy and Dorab Sopariwala look at whether turnout might say something about the relative success of the BJP.
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GHMC : || GHMC Exit Polls: Five Trends Clear || Political parties are busy interpreting low voter turnout in terms of possible electoral outcomes. While the TRS circles are reportedly feeling comfort over the low turnout benefitting the ruling party, the opposition BJP is furious. Several theories are floated to link the low voter turnout with that of the electoral outcome. The popular notion is that voters come out to the polls in greater numbers when motivated to punish the incumbent party. Thus, the low turnout can be interpreted that Hyderabad voters were not keen on punishing the TRS that is ruling both GHMC and the state government. This is precisely why the ruling TRS is hoping for a win, and the opposition BJP seems nervous. But, the electoral studies do not establish any relationship between voter turnout and possible electoral outcome. According to a 2018 study by Milan Vaishnav and Jonathan Guy published in the journal, Studies in Indian Politics that looked into data from 18 major Indian state elections between 1980 and 2012, there is no relationship between voter turnout and the electoral outcome in favour of either ruling or opposition party. However, there is also a theory that low voter turnout benefits cadre-based parties like the BJP. The proponents of this theory refer to the following. In a new book about Indian elections and polling, NDTVs Prannoy Roy and Dorab Sopariwala look at whether turnout might say something about the relative success of the BJP. https://www.gulte.com/political-news/39424/who-will-benefit-from-the-low-voter-turnout