Every day is a survey day till the election day. A new survey is now making rounds on the social media platforms. The survey is done by Critical mind (on AP politics) who goes by Twitter handle @Critical_brain. He is a student of Political Science (including Indian Constitution), Economics, History, Sociology. he does Analysis on AP politics and AP Elections Data.
According to him the most important factor deciding AP 2019 elections is neutral voters and Chandrababu Naidu has a small loss in middle-class neutral votes, but gained significantly in neutral voters among poor people, compared to 2014.
2019 AP Survey results:
MLA seats:
TDP: 120-130
YSRCP: 40-50
JanaSena: 2-5
MP seats:
TDP: 19-21
YSRCP: 4-6
Vote share:
TDP: 42-44 %
YSRCP: 37-39 %
JanaSena: 9-11 %
Here is the brief explanation provided by Critical mind:
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