Outbreak Update: Since the last brief (20 October 2020), 3,025,116 new confirmed [1] coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases and 40,780 new deaths have been reported globally. To date, a total of 42,977,875 COVID-19 cases and 1,152,8883 related deaths (case fatality rate (CFR): 2.7%) have been reported from 219 countries and territories. This week, no new country or territory reported its first case. The distribution of cumulative cases (proportion of global cases) from the World Health Organization (WHO) reporting regions (excluding Africa) are as follows: Eastern Mediterranean Region 2,499,316 (6%), European Region 9,474,721 (22%), Region of the Americas.
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19,629,837 (46%), South-East Asia Region 8,924,840 (21%) and Western Pacific Region 711,899 (2%). Among the affected locations, India, the United States, France, Brazil and the United Kingdom have reported over 100,000 new cases in the past seven days. For more detailed information on cases and deaths being reported outside of Africa, refer to the WHO daily situation reports. [2]
As of 9 am East African Time (EAT) 27 October 2020, a total of 1,728,682 COVID-19 cases and 41,623 deaths (CFR: 2.4%) have been reported in 55 African Union (AU) Member States. This is 4% of all cases reported globally. Of the countries actively reporting COVID-19 epidemiologic data, thirteen countries are reporting case fatality rates higher than the global case fatality rate of 2.7%, these include Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic (7.1%), Chad (6.7%), Sudan (6.1%), Liberia (5.8%),
Egypt (5.8), Niger (5.7%), Mali (3.8%), Algeria (3.4%), Gambia (3.3%), Sierra Leone (3.2%), Malawi (3.1%), Zimbabwe (2.9%) and Angola (2.8%).
For Epi week3 43 (19-25 October), 74,565 new COVID-19 cases have been reported, which is a 12% increase in the number of new cases reported when compared to Epi week 42. The majority of new COVID-19 cases being reported for this week are from the Northern region (55%) followed by the Southern (25%), Eastern (16%), Western (3%) and Central (1%) regions. Countries reporting the highest incidence (COVID-19 cases per 100,000 population) this week include Libya (110), Cabo Verde (107), Morocco (57), Tunisia (49), Botswana (26), South Africa (21) and Namibia (14).
Table 1 highlights the reported cases and deaths from COVID-19 in all countries in Africa for Epi week 43. In addition, the table reports the current phase of the epidemic for each country. Figure 1 shows the trend of new COVID-19 cases reported by day and region from 15 February to date. We observed a decline in the daily new cases being reported in Africa during the month of July and August, mostly influenced by South Africa. During the month of October, there has been a slight increase in the number of new cases being reported. For this week, six countries account for approximately 84% of the new COVID-19 cases reported: Morocco (31%), South Africa (18%), Libya (11%), Tunisia (9%), Kenya (7%) and Ethiopia (6%).
Table 1. Confirmed COVID-19 cases, deaths and recoveries reported in Africa [3] for Epi week 43 (19-25 October 2020)
| Country | Number of cases (new) | Percent change in new cases since the previous brief | Number of deaths (new) | Percent change in new deaths since the previous brief | Epidemic phase [4] |
| Central Region | 59,777 (453) | -22% | 1,133 (7) | -75% |
|
| Burundi | 557 (15) | -17% | 1 (0) | NA* | 2 |
| Cameroon | 21,570 (129) | -46% | 425 (2) | NA* | 3 |
| Central African Republic | 4,862 (7) | 600% | 62 (0) | NA* | 3 |
| Chad | 1,441 (51) | -38% | 96 (3) | 200% | 3 |
| Congo | 5,253 (97) | NA* | 92 (0) | NA* | 3 |
| Democratic Republic of Congo | 11,174 (122) | -34% | 305 (2) | -93% | 3 |
| Equatorial Guinea | 5,079 (5) | -38% | 83 (0) | NA* | 3 |
| Gabon | 8,901 (20) | -57% | 54 (0) | NA* | 3 |
| Sao Tome and Principe | 940 (7) | 75% | 15 (0) | NA* | 2 |
| Eastern Region | 204,723 (11,994) | 28% | 3,803 (161) | 16% |
|
| Comoros | 517 (15) | 114% | 7 (0) | NA* | 3 |
| Djibouti | 5,536 (84) | 115% | 61 (0) | NA* | 2 |
| Eritrea | 461 (9) | -76% | (0) | NA* | 1 |
| Ethiopia | 93,343 (4,909) | 1% | 1,426 (74) | 14% | 3 |
| Kenya | 49,721 (5,525) | 66% | 902 (70) | 6% | 3 |
| Madagascar | 16,968 (158) | 72% | 244 (6) | 500% | 3 |
| Mauritius | 435 (28) | 133% | 10 (0) | NA* | 1 |
| Rwanda | 5,066 (95) | 22% | 34 (0) | -100% | 2 |
| Seychelles | 153 (4) | 300% | (0) | NA* | 1 |
| Somalia | 3,941 (77) | NA* | 104 (5) | NA* | 1 |
| South Sudan | 2,883 (66) | 2% | 56 (1) | NA* | 3 |
| Sudan | 13,747 (36) | 9% | 837 (1) | NA* | 3 |
| Tanzania | 509 (0) | NA* | 21 (0) | NA* | 3 |
| Uganda | 11,443 (988) | 25% | 101 (4) | No change | 2 |
| Northern Region | 470,151 (40,620) | 9% | 13,134 (656) | -7% |
|
| Algeria | 55,880 (1,687) | 49% | 1,907 (61) | 24% | 3 |
| Egypt | 106,397 (1,100) | 21% | 6,187 (67) | -1% | 2 |
| Libya | 57,223 (8,433) | 38% | 801 (69) | -22% | 2 |
| Mauritania | 7,663 (78) | 47% | 163 (0) | NA* | 3 |
| Morocco | 194,461 (23,550) | 11% | 3,255 (327) | 1% | 2 |
| Tunisia | 48,499 (5,772) | -27% | 819 (132) | -25% | 2 |
| Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic | 28 (0) | NA* | 2 (0) | NA* | 1 |
| Southern Region | 792,922 (18,736) | 17% | 20,403 (542) | -27% |
|
| Angola | 9,381 (1,919) | 53% | 268 (21) | -28% | 2 |
| Botswana | 4,930 (656) | -38% | 21 (0) | -100% | 2 |
| Eswatini | 5,854 (89) | -20% | 116 (0) | -100% | 3 |
| Lesotho | 1,940 (107) | 282% | 43 (1) | NA* | 2 |
| Malawi | 5,890 (38) | 6% | 183 (2) | 100% | 3 |
| Mozambique | 11,986 (1,279) | 48% | 86 (11) | 175% | 3 |
| Namibia | 12,660 (397) | 11% | 133 (2) | -33% | 3 |
| South Africa | 715,868 (13,737) | 21% | 18,968 (497) | -28% | 3 |
| Zambia | 16,137 (348) | -12% | 348 (2) | -78% | 3 |
| Zimbabwe | 8,276 (166) | 22% | 237 (6) | 500% | 3 |
| Western Region | 187,557 (2,762) | -18% | 2,730 (27) | -25% |
|
| Benin | 2,557 (61) | -28% | 41 (0) | NA* | 3 |
| Burkina Faso | 2,451 (108) | -2% | 65 (0) | -100% | 3 |
| Cape Verde | 8,396 (758) | 11% | 94 (8) | -27% | 2 |
| Côte d’Ivoire | 20,470 (169) | No change | 122 (1) | No change | 3 |
| Gambia | 3,660 (11) | -35% | 119 (1) | No change | 3 |
| Ghana | 47,775 (314) | -19% | 316 (4) | 100% | 3 |
| Guinea | 11,635 (157) | -66% | 71 (1) | NA* | 3 |
| Guinea-Bissau | 2,403 (14) | 250% | 41 (0) | -100% | 3 |
| Liberia | 1,416 (39) | 550% | 82 (0) | NA* | 3 |
| Mali | 3,490 (111) | 9% | 133 (1) | NA* | 3 |
| Niger | 1,215 (6) | -33% | 69 (0) | NA* | 2 |
| Nigeria | 61,992 (685) | -42% | 1,130 (5) | -50% | 3 |
| Senegal | 15,551 (159) | 6% | 321 (4) | 33% | 3 |
| Sierra Leone | 2,346 (19) | -21% | 74 (1) | No change | 3 |
| Togo | 2,200 (151) | 29% | 52 (1) | -50% | 3 |
| Total | 1,715,130 (74,565) | 12% | 41,203 (1,393) | -16% |
|
*No new cases/deaths reported in the previous week.
NEW Africa CDC Response Activities:
General:
Healthcare Preparedness and Medical Countermeasures:
Case Management
Infection and Prevention Control (IPC)
Laboratory:
Surveillance:
Sciences, Standards and Regulations:
Recommendations for the Member States:
[2] WHO coronavirus disease (COVID-19) dashboard: https://covid19.who.int/
[3] Starting this week, Africa CDC is introducing a Monday - Sunday Epi week to standardize all weekly trend analysis and comparisons for all future Africa CDC products.
[4] Phases defined according to Africa CDC’s Recommendations for a stepwise COVID-19 response - https://africacdc.org/download/recommendations-for-stepwise-response-to-covid-19/: Phase 0 (No COVID-19 case): no reported case in-country; Phase 1 (Early stage outbreak): one or more imported cases, limited local transmission related to imported cases; Phase 2 (Expanding outbreak): increasing number of imported cases, increased local spread but all cases linked to known transmission chains, outbreak clusters with a known common exposure; Phase 3 (Advancing outbreak): localized outbreaks start to merge, one or more cases or deaths occur outside known transmission, multiple generations in transmission chains, cases are detected among severe acute respiratory illness (SARI) case with no known exposure; Phase 4 (Large outbreak with nationwide transmission): widespread sustained community transmission, multiple generation transmission chains can be identified but most cases occurring outside of chains, community-wide transmission throughout all or nearly all of the country.
[5] Africa CDC Protocol for enhanced surveillance for COVID-19 in Africa: https://africacdc.org/download/protocol-for- enhanced-severe-acute-respiratory-illness-and-influenza-like-illness-surveillance-for-covid-19-in-africa/
[6] WHO COVID-19 surveillance guidance and case definition: https://www.who.int/publications/i/item/who-2019- nCoV-surveillanceguidance-2020.7
[7] WHO SARI case definition: anyone with an acute respiratory infection with a history of fever (or measured fever of ≥ 38 C°) and cough with symptom onset within the last 10 days that requires hospitalization. https://www.who.int/influenza/surveillance_monitoring/ili_sari_surveillance_case_definition/en/
[8] Africa CDC Guidance on Contact Tracing for COVID-19 Pandemic: https://africacdc.org/download/guidance-on- contact-tracing-for-covid-19-pandemic/
Distributed by APO Group on behalf of Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention (Africa CDC).
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